Here's the latest news that the main stream media seems to lose...
14 Then the Lord said unto me, The prophets prophesy lies in my name: I have not sent them, neither did I command them, neither spake I unto them, but they prophesy unto you a false vision, and divination, and vanity, and deceitfulness of their own heart.
15 Therefore thus saith the Lord, Concerning the prophets that prophesy in my Name, whom I have not sent, yet they say, Sword and famine shall not be in this land, by sword and famine shall those prophets be consumed.
16 And the people to whom these prophets do prophesy shall be cast out in the streets of Jerusalem, because of the famine, and the sword, and there shall be none to bury them: both they and their wives, and their sons, and their daughters: for I will pour their wickedness upon them.
by: Hermann Goering
(1893-1946) Commander-in-Chief of the Luftwaffe, President of the Reichstag, Prime Minister of Prussia and, as Hitler's designated successor, the second man in the Third Reich. [Göring]
Date: April 18, 1946
Source: Nuremberg Diary (Farrar, Straus & Co 1947), by Gustave Gilbert (an Allied appointed psychologist), who visited daily with Goering and his cronies in their cells, afterwards making notes and ultimately writing the book about these conversations.
|Posted by Conspiracy Cafe on February 15, 2018 at 9:10 AM|
The New World Order has commenced the spring mass shooting rampage season a tad early this year. We know the routine so well it's just a matter of waiting and watching for the flaws in the script. They can involve violations of the laws of science, multiple shooters, crisis actors, or very poor facsimiles of wounds. The greatest faux pas was one of the deceased victims sitting on President Obama's lap. This shooting is no different. As I scanned the various images one that popped out immediately was the subject Nicolas de Jesus Cruz has very red hair. In fact in the image above purporting to show his arrest it is clearly obvious the subject is wearing makeup. There is lipstick, eye liner and other makeup applied to the cheeks. I suppose a mass murderer would want to make a good appearance for the mass media exposure.
After capture and a trip to the hospital Nicolas is paraded in the limelight again. However, his hair is much darker now. In fact it doesn't appear to be red at all. There are other differences as well.
Our red headed subject has quite the tuft of hair. Our man in the hospital gown does not. There is a pronounced area of swelling above his upper lip. He might have received that in the incarceration process. Also take careful note of his demeanor. It is very subdued here. I wouldn't doubt he has been drugged with sedatives. In the top image he has a sinister catatonic look. Another point is he has no blood on him. After wading through a massacre with fatalities, he should be stained. Something to watch for would be his shoes. In mass casualty events mine were covered in blood or worse.
In this shot the light is shining into his hair like the top photo. There is no red tint at all. This subject is no wearing makeup. If this is the real Nicolas, we can wonder if he was held in a hospital while the shooting rampage was carried out. In the top photo where he is holding a pistol it has a red plug at the end of the barrel signifying it is a fake. On blogs he's posted himself wearing a MAGA cap as if to imply that Trump supporters are irrational mental cases hell bent on waging jihad on their fellows. In the post election hyperbole it was the hard core democratic supporters who clamored for violence including outright murder openly. I don't think it would be a stretch they wouldn't stoop so low as to shoot up a school in reality of as a staged event to get their way.
Of course we can clearly see here that this is our man. I can definitively say it is not based on the exposed ear lobe. It doesn't match the red haired individual at the top. There are distinct class characteristics. This was an amateurish attempt to malign the president and his programs. It further demonizes the second amendment, Christians and conservatives. Why would a budding lunatic need to disguise his face like this? It would most likely imply a deeply seated attempt to disarm and enslave WE THE PEOPLE. One of the most common methods the state employs to rule is with fear and terror. It also captures the news and Uranium 1 and the dirty tricks used in the last election are completely off the table.
In case anyone implies all the changes we see happened in custody we see the subject taken away here has dark hair. So it is clear there are two individuals involved. With the preponderance of faked mass casualty events around the world, it is almost a certainty this was staged as well. It has all the hallmarks as we used to chime liked trained seals in previous days of Al CIAda. There is another factor as well. The killer was shooting indoors. There's a lot of gun smoke and particles in the air. I know I used to be covered in black soot when I requalified at an indoor range. The school wouldn't have a ventilation system either so it should be pronounced. It should definitely interfere with the highlights on the cheeks.
|Posted by Conspiracy Cafe on February 9, 2018 at 11:25 AM|
February 9, 2018 - Fort Russ -
By Eduard Popov, translated by Jafe Arnold -
On February 8th, the deputy commander of the operational command of the Donetsk People’s Republic, Eduard Basurin, announced that American instructors have been sighted arriving in Donbass. According to Basurin, the American officers were accompanied by representatives of the Ukrainian Armed Forces’ General Staff, and intend to direct Ukrainian troops to prepare them for an offensive.
The American officers are said to be paying particular attention to the Ukrainian “Donetsk” operational-tactical group, and Basurin has additionally claimed that US officers have ordered Ukrainian troops to remove Right Sector militants from the frontline. The significance of this will be discussed below.
To recall, American military personnel are not the only NATO army representatives in Donbass. Canada, for instance, has just sent 200 military instructors to Ukraine who were rotated out in 2017, but are now back to deployment until 2019. According to intelligence reports of the Lugansk People’s Republic, Canadian instructors are also operating in Donbass and even carrying out special tasks for the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
Back on February 4th, DPR command representatives also announced that instructors from the UK had been sighted arriving on Kiev-controlled territory in Donbass. Basurin himself, citing intelligence reports, stated that the foreign specialists have come to train Ukrainian saboteur groups.
Overall, as the DPR has reported before, nearly 900 foreign instructors are working with the Ukrainian army in Donbass.
The arrival of American inspectors and Canadian and British officers, including specialists in saboteur training, is alarming - especially since, coincidentally or not, these “reinforcements” have appeared at the same time as Ukrainian social networks have leaked Ukrainian General Staff plans for an offensive in Donbass.
In the first days of February, bits of information surfaced across social networks alleging possible plans by Kiev to launch an assault on Donbass. In particular, the “leaked” plans envision the creation of two army groups which would simultaneously assault Donetsk and Lugansk. The operation is to be completed in the course of a month.
This information has been confirmed by DPR intelligence, which has gained access to classified maps that suggest that the UAF is planning to go on an offensive this spring. Eduard Basurin presented these materials at a briefing on February 6th, and suggested that the main thrust of the enemy would be to strike to the North and South of Donetsk.
The result of such offensive operations, according to Kiev’s calculations, would be the defeat of the republic’s defense forces and a successful march up to the border with Russia.
It is impossible to rule out that these leaked plans are but a disinformation move by the Ukrainian side. Nevertheless, multiple points suggests that this plan is indeed genuine. Numerous experts seem to agree. Let’s go through the evidence.
Two main circumstances speak in favor of the plan being genuine: heightened UAF preparations for war coupled with US aid, and the effective work of the Donbass republics’ intelligence in Ukrainian military circles. The DPR and LPR have a significant network of agents in Ukrainian military units and, quite possibly, even in the Ukrainian Army’s General Staff. But the Ukrainian side also has agents entrenched in firm positions throughout the military and civil institutions of the Donbass republics.
As second possible explanation for the plan’s publication could be that such was the result of a specially organized leak. According to some indirect sources, the Ukrainian General Staff harbors strong sentiments against resuming the war, as such would threaten the Ukrainian Army with final destruction. Perhaps the publication of such top-secret documents revealing the aims and timing of a UAF offensive was a move by officers who hope to prevent or at least postpone the onset of war.
Moreover, it is hard not to see a telling coincidence between the leaked plans of a Ukrainian blitzkrieg and the arrival of American officers at forward UAF positions. If this plan is real, then one has to agree with Basurin that these American officers are inspecting the state of UAF units in the zone of impending battles in preparation for a strategic offensive.
Basurin’s statement also contained a rather peculiar remark: the Americans have evidently recommended (or demanded?) that Right Sector militants be removed from the frontline. Russian media reports have explained this instance as a necessity conditioned by the Ukrainian command’s lack of ability to control Ukrainian Nazi units. In my opinion, however, the motive here is different. As commanders of the LPR army confided in me last June, Ukrainian Nazi fighters are highly motivated to kill, but poorly trained militarily. They are punitive gangs resembling a Ukrainian analogue of the SS Sonderkommando, not a regular army.
I surmise that Ukrainian Nazi battalions are being kept back in order to be used after a possible offensive - if such succeeds - to carry out the “cleansing” of the Donbass republics and establish a reign of terror. In other words, these “punishers” will be used for their intended purpose, for which UAF units are much less suitable. Already during the first months of the war in Donbass, we might recall, numerous reports recorded fights that broke out between UAF units and the Nazis over the latter’s terrorism against civilians.
The news that Right Sector is being withdrawn from the frontline suggests, albeit indirectly, that the UAF is indeed preparing for an offensive, and is moving its units around accordingly. All the forces at the disposal of the Ukrainian command will be thrown into an assault on the Donbass republics. First will go regular soldiers, and then the Nazi battalion fanatics. It is otherwise difficult to explain the American suggestion to remove Right Sector from the frontline, as their presence never seemed to disturb the ATO command before.
Another important aspect of American officers’ operations in the ATO concerns the problem of US military assistance to UAF units and Nazi groups (Azov) being stolen. This problem is unsolvable, as such would require changing the very nature of the kleptocratic Ukrainian state and military leadership. But the scale of this theft might be able to be reduced, hence US officers inspecting sites themselves.
After all, the US will not stop or even reduce the flow of material, technological, and financial aid to the Ukrainian Armed Forces despite the obvious expenses. But they can try to reduce such to a minimum with more effective assessment of the state of affairs in the Ukrainian rear. Hence the presence of American “auditors.”
Now let us summarize. The arrival of American military inspectors and NATO specialists in the ATO zone, the leaking of a document supposed to include plans for a Ukrainian offensive on Donbass, and the recommended rotation of Nazi battalions from the frontline all suggest a dramatic increase in the likelihood of a full-scale Ukrainian offensive operation.
This is further confirmed by our repeated forecast that war should be expected closer to the Russian presidential elections. Indeed, if the leaked UAF plan is real, the timing of an offensive - ambiguous as it might be stated - is spring of this year. Regardless, the situation is clear: over the next few weeks and even months, especially with presidential elections around the corner, Russia will be in a vulnerable situation that could complicate military-political and diplomatic activities. Perhaps this is what those devising a new war in Donbass want - to drag Russia into a new, full-scale conflict
If they dare, expect the lid to blow off.
|Posted by Conspiracy Cafe on February 8, 2018 at 9:20 PM|
by Wolf Richter Feb 7, 2018
And who was buying? Answers emerge.
The S&P 500 index hit an all-time high on January 26, which was a Friday. The following week, it started to fall, including a messy 2.1% selloff on Friday that brought the weekly loss to 3.8%, the worst such decline since the selloff that ended on February 7, 2016. So who were the net sellers of stocks during that week just before the 4.1% plunge on Monday? And who was buying just before the plunge?
The smart money:
Hedge funds were the biggest net sellers during that week, according to BofA Merrill Lynch analysts, cited by Bloomberg. The data was based on account activities by clients of BAML. During the week, four of BAML’s client categories sold a net of $3.6 billion in stocks, the most since early June 2016 as Britain’s Brexit vote had been approaching:
Hedge funds disposed of nearly $2 billion in shares during that week, or about 55% of the total. This was up from the four-week average of about $300 million in net sales.
Institutional investors disposed of $1.3 billion, or about 35% of the total. But they were already heavy sellers averaging $1.2 billion in disposals over the prior four weeks.
Retail investors unloaded about $300 million, up from the four-week average of about $200 million.
The dumb money:
But one BAML client category was a net buyer just before the Monday plunge: corporations buying back their own shares. They have fueled the stock market boom over the past few years. They represent the relentless bid. Their purpose is to buy high to push share prices even higher. These BAML clients purchased about $600 million of their own shares just before the plunge.
These corporate share buybacks last week are particularly interesting in that companies are now reporting their Q4 earnings, and they enter into a pre-announcement quiet-period during which share-buybacks are also restricted.
This might explain why buybacks during that week were down slightly from the four-week average.
BAML’s corporate clients were the only client category that did not dump shares over the past four weeks, and the four-week average shows net purchases of about $700 million.
Then Monday happened. And whatever hedge funds and institutional investors were doing, retail investors were trying to access their accounts in such large numbers that they ran into outages or slowdowns at a number of online brokers, mutual fund firms, and fintech robo-advisers, at least briefly. They included Charles Schwab, TD Ameritrade, Vanguard Group – whose clients might have experienced “sporadic difficulty” according to a spokeswoman – T. Rowe Price, Wealthfront, and Betterment.
And who else was selling?
Equity ETF holders. For example, they yanked a record $17.4 billion out of the largest ETF, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF, over the four-day trading days from February 1 through February 6. According to Bloomberg, this beat the prior record for a four-day period, September 25 – 28, 2007, when investors had yanked out $16 billion.
On just the day of February 6 – which was an enormously volatile day, with stocks surging, plunging, and surging again – investors removed $8 billion from the SPDR S&P 500 ETF. According to Bloomberg, that day was the third-largest single-day withdrawal since the Financial Crisis.
That said, on a percentage basis, the redemptions weren’t in the same league.
Just ahead of the selloff on September 25 – 28, 2007, the ETF had total net assets of $93.9 billion, according to SPDR data. So the $16 billion withdrawn during the selloff at the time represented 17% of total net assets before the selloff. This time around the ETF had total net assets of $306.7 billion on January 31, and the $17.4 billion yanked out amounted to less than 6%.
It’s still a large amount – but it goes back to what I said a couple of days ago, this selloff didn’t measure up to the selloffs that occur during the drawn-out periods of a real crash.
With all this wailing in the media, you’d think there’s at least some blood in the streets. But no. Not a drop. Read… So What Do I Think about the “Crash” in Stocks?
|Posted by George Freund on February 6, 2018 at 9:10 AM|
By Michael Snyder, on February 5th, 2018
The mainstream media seems so surprised that the stock market is crashing, but the truth is that it isn’t a surprise at all. In fact, this crash is way, way overdue. If the Dow Jones industrial average fell another 10,000 points, stock prices would still be overvalued. I have been warning and warning and warning that this would happen, because stock valuations always return to their long-term averages eventually. On Monday, the Dow was down a staggering 1,175 points, which was the largest single day decline that we have ever seen by a very wide margin. In fact, it shattered the old record by nearly 400 points.
Shortly after 3 PM, all hell broke loose on Wall Street. The Dow dropped by more than 800 points in just 10 minutes. At one point on Monday, the Dow was down nearly 1,600 points, but a brief rally cut those losses roughly in half. However, the rally did not last long and stock prices collapsed hard as the market closed. At this moment, the Dow is already down more than 2,200 points from the peak of the market, and we are not too far from officially entering “correction” territory.
Once stocks start falling, it can trigger a massive rush for the exits, and that is what happened on Monday. In particular, investors started to panic once the Dow broke through the 50-day moving average…
“As soon as we broke the 50-day moving average … we saw volatility spike,” said Jeff Kilburg, CEO of KKM Financial. “It’s just been downhill from there.”
Other waves of selling were triggered once the 25,000 and 24,000 barriers on the Dow were breached. In order to protect against losing too much money, many investors have stop losses set at psychologically-important levels. The following comes fromMarketWatch…
Amplifying the slump was computer-programmed trade set to dump shares at certain levels. According to traders, the DowDJIA, -4.60% was set to trigger trades once it fell below 25,000 and 24,000, for example, and 2,700 for the S&P 500.
Markets almost always go down faster than they go up, and once panic begins to spread on Wall Street it doesn’t take much to create a massive stampede.
In the end, this next financial crisis will be far worse than it should have been. The Federal Reserve and other global central banks have endlessly manipulated the financial markets, and they created the biggest financial bubble in human history.
When an irrational financial bubble is growing, it can seem like things are wonderful. But all such bubbles eventually burst, and the bursting of the bubble often does far more damage than the good that was accomplished by the manipulation of the markets.
So was there anything specific that caused the panic on Wall Street on Monday?
Yes, interest rates are rising, but as Bloomberg has noted, there wasn’t really anything noteworthy in the news that triggered the selling…
While Friday’s market rout came amid U.S. wage data on Friday that pointed to quickening inflation, which would lead to higher rates and, in turn, rising borrowing costs for companies, the selling Monday came amid few major data points.
“I think sentiment was a little too optimistic,” said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer for Commonwealth Financial Network. “What was driving the market up in January? It wasn’t the fundamentals, as good as they were, it was excessive confidence.”
Ultimately, time simply runs out on all irrational financial bubbles. It is interesting to note that the Tulip price index began to crash on this exact date in 1637, and we may look back and point to February 5th as the key moment when the “financial crisis of 2018” started.
Once again, let us hope for some type of a bounce tomorrow. Often stock prices do rebound quite a bit after an enormous decline, and many are hoping that stock prices will soar on Tuesday.
But so far the news after the market closed in New York has all been bad. For example,CNBC is reporting that XIV has fallen more than 80 percent after hours…
An exchange-traded security which is supposed to be a bet on calm markets was collapsing after hours.
The VelocityShares Daily Inverse VIX Short-Term exchange-traded note (XIV) is down more than 80 percent in extended trading Monday. The security, issued by Credit Suisse, is supposed to give the opposite return of the Cboe Volatility index (VIX), the market’s widely followed turbulence gauge.
And as I write this article, it looks like markets all over Asia are going to be way down at the opening.
If stock prices keep collapsing, it could actually cause a major financial crisis. So many financial institutions are deeply leveraged today, and many of them simply would not be able to handle a stock market decline of 30, 40 or 50 percent.
In particular, if things start to really unravel it will be important to pay special attention for any mention of “derivatives” in the financial news. Once those dominoes start falling, we will see financial pain on a scale unlike anything that we have ever seen before in U.S. history.
Also, let us not forget that trouble signs continue to emerge for the “real economy”. Just today, we learned that another major retail chain has filed for bankruptcy…
Bon-Ton Stores, the corporate parent of several department store chains, tumbled into Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection as the company seeks a fresh lease on life.
Bon-Ton, whose brands include Boston Store, Carson’s, Elder-Beerman and Younkers, had been on a fast track toward bankruptcy court after it recently announced plans to close 47 of its 260 stores.
I cannot stress enough that what happened on Monday is not a surprise. The only surprise is that it took this long to happen.
Stock valuations need to fall another 40 or 50 percent just to get back to their long-term averages, and whether that happens very rapidly or takes an extended period of time, the truth is that stock valuations will return to those long-term averages.
Unfortunately for us, the central banks have created a bubble of such enormity that it could potentially collapse the entire global financial system when it finally fully bursts.
Let us hope for calmer markets on Tuesday, but let us also be mindful that at some point we are going to pay an exceedingly great price for years and years of horribly foolish decisions.
|Posted by Conspiracy Cafe on February 5, 2018 at 7:00 PM|
by Wolf Richter • Feb 1, 2018
With a sense of urgency. No more dilly-dallying around.
The Fed’s balance sheet for the week ending January 31, released this afternoon, completes the fourth month of QE-unwind. And it’s starting to be a doozie.
This “balance sheet normalization” impacts two types of assets: Treasury securities and mortgage backed securities (MBS) that the Fed acquired during the years of QE and maintained afterwards.
The Fed’s plan, as announced in September, is to shrink the balances of Treasuries and MBS by up to $10 billion per month in October, November, and December 2017, then to accelerate the pace every three months. In January, February, and March 2018, the unwind would be capped at $20 billion a month; in Q2, at $30 billion a month; in Q3, at $40 billion a month; and starting in Q4, at $50 billion a month.
According to this plan, balances of Treasuries and MBS will shrink by $420 billion in 2018, by an additional $600 billion in 2019, and by an additional $600 billion every year going forward until the Fed deems the level of its holdings “normal.” Whatever this level may turn out to be, it will be much higher than the level suggested by the growth trajectory before the Financial Crisis.
For January, the plan called for shedding up to $20 billion: $12 billion in Treasuries and $8 billion in MBS.
So how did it go?
On its December 27 balance sheet, the Fed had $2,454 billion of Treasuries. By January 31, it had $2,436 billion: a drop of $18 billion in one month!
This exceeds the planned drop of $12 billion for January. But hey, over the holidays, most folks at the New York Fed, which does the balance sheet operations, were probably off and not much happened. And so this may have been a catch-up action, with a sense of urgency.
In total, since the beginning of the QE Unwind, the balance of Treasuries has plunged by $30 billion, to hit the lowest since August 27, 2014. This part of the QE Unwind is happening:
The jagged down movement in the chart is a result of the way the Fed unwinds its QE. It does not sell the securities. It allows them to “roll off” its balance sheet. It works this way:
Treasuries mature in mid-month and at the end of the month. For example, on January 31, about $27 billion of the Fed’s Treasuries matured. The Treasury Department redeemed those securities (normal bondholders would be paid face value). But the Fed has a special arrangement with the Treasury Department that cuts out the middlemen.
To maintain the level of Treasuries, the Fed would “roll over” these securities directly with the Treasury Department – replacing maturing securities with new securities.
But under the QE unwind, the Fed allows part of those securities to “roll off” rather than allowing them to “roll over.” In other words, the Fed does not replace some of the maturing securities and instead gets paid for them.
Of the $27 billion in Treasuries that matured yesterday, the Fed “rolled over” $16 billion (replaced them) and allowed $11 billion to “roll off” (got paid for them). The blue arrow in the chart above shows this big one-day move.
MBS: a jagged line and a lag of two to three months.
The Fed acquired residential MBS guaranteed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae as part of QE. Now, it’s supposed to shed them at a pace of $4 billion a month in Q4 last year and $8 billion a month in Q1 this year. So how did it go?
Residential MBS differ from regular bonds. The issuer (Fannie Mae et al.) passes through principal payments to MBS holders as underlying mortgages get paid down or get paid off. Thus, the principal shrinks in uneven increments until the remainder is redeemed at maturity.
To keep the MBS balance steady, the New York Fed’s Open Market Operations (OMO) buys MBS in the “to-be-announced market” (TBA market). The actual MBS is not designated at the time of the trade but will be announced 48 hours before the established settlement date, which can be two to three months later.
The Fed accounts for its MBS on a settlement-date basis. So there is a mismatch between the date the Fed receives principal payments and the date reinvestment trades settle. Hence the jagged line in the chart below.
Since MBS take two to three months to settle, the first declines weren’t expected to show up on the Fed’s balance sheet until sometime December. But since MBS balances have large weekly variations due to the timing issues, those early declines were hard to see.
This is why we look for “lower highs” and “lower lows” with a lag of two to three months, which is what we see in January, a reflection of trades that took place around November:
At the end of October, before the MBS Unwind became visible, the Fed held $1,770.2 billion in MBS, at the low point of the period. On today’s balance sheet, also the low point in the chart, the Fed shows $1,760.7 billion. From low to low, the balance dropped $9.5 billion. This reflects trades from two to three months ago. So even the MBS Unwind is now clearly visible.
In early December, I published my article with the above explanations about why we hadn’t yet seen the MBS Unwind. About a month later, the NY Fed published its own article, confirming my explanations, including the reasons behind the jagged line and that MBS take two to three months to settle.
So why all this noise in the overall balance sheet?
Total assets have dropped by $41 billion since the QE Unwind began, the lowest since September 3, 2014:
But why all this noise in the chart? The Fed has other roles that cause assets and liabilities to fluctuate. Among them: it is the official banker of the US government. The US Treasury keeps its cash balances on deposit at the Fed (rather than JP Morgan). When the balance fluctuates, is causes the Fed’s assets and liabilities to fluctuate, as they would with any bank.
Similarly, the Fed holds “Foreign Official Deposits” by other central banks and governments. And the Fed has other functions that impact the overall balance sheet (explained here). But movements caused by these functions have nothing to do with QE or with the QE Unwind.
For the QE Unwind, only Treasuries and MBS matter. And the Fed is shedding them — after everyone had said for years that it could never shed them. The Treasury market may be finally paying attention: The 10-year yield closed today at 2.78%, the highest since April 2014.
Just as the Fed accelerates its QE Unwind, and as Treasuries react, the government is planning to sell a massive pile of new debt. Read… US National Debt Will Jump by $617 Billion in 5 Months
This is the reason the markets crashed.
|Posted by Conspiracy Cafe on February 5, 2018 at 12:25 PM|
By Michael Snyder, on February 4th, 2018
On Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 666 points (665.75 points to be precise), and many are pointing out that this was the 6th largest single day crash that we have ever seen. This decline happened on the 33rd day of the year, and it was the worst day for the stock market by far since President Trump entered the White House. I have been repeatedly warning that we are way overdue for a stock market crash, and many are concerned that we may be on the precipice of another great financial crisis. We shall see what happens on Monday, because that will set the tone for the rest of the week. If we see another huge decline early Monday morning, that could easily set off full-blown panic selling on Wall Street.
Rising interest rates appear to have been the trigger for the enormous market drop on Friday. The following comes from the New York Post…
“We all know that many bull markets have ended by the Federal Reserve as they raise the rates to the point of slowing the economy down perhaps too much,” Quincy Krosby, chief market strategist at Prudential Financial, told The Post.
“It’s come on quickly and it caught the market off guard,” Krosby said.
The Dow sell-off brought it below the 26,000 plateau — to 25,520.96 — the biggest points drop since Dec. 1, 2008.
It is quite rare for the market to drop this much in a single day. The largest single daily decline was a 777 point drop in 2008, and overall the Dow has fallen by more than 600 points less than 10 times throughout history…
The index posted a loss of nearly 666 points, its sixth-worst decline ever on a points basis.
The last time the index posted a drop of more than 600 points was June 24, 2016, the day after the Brexit vote.
The eight other times the Dow closed more than 600 points lower all took place in the last 18 years. Half occurred during the financial crisis in 2008.
My readers have heard me explain over and over that markets tend to go down a lot faster than they go up.
Once a market landslide begins, the movement can be absolutely breathtaking. But none of this should come as any sort of a surprise, because even the Washington Post admits that “speculation of a market pullback” has been seemingly everywhere in recent days…
The airwaves and online chatter have been flooded in recent weeks with speculation of a market pullback like the one that thundered in on Friday.
“It looks like the beginning of a market correction,” said Luke Tilley, chief economist at Wilmington Trust, the wealth and investment advisory arm of M&T Bank. “It’s not something that is very surprising, given the low volatility that we saw in 2017.”
Right now we are in the terminal phase of a historic “double bubble” in both stocks and bonds. Many times we will see one or the other get clobbered on a particular day, but Friday was a “bloodbath” for all asset classes…
Yesterday’s US equity market collapse and simultaneous bond market bloodbath was the biggest combined loss since December 2015, but perhaps more ominously, the week’s combined loss in bonds and stocks was the worst since Feb 2009.
So what will next week bring?
Hopefully things will settle down and we will see the markets start to bounce back. After a huge decline, that is often what happens.
But it would be foolish to ignore the fear that appears to be growing on Wall Street. At this point, even Bloomberg is openly wondering if this “is the start of something big?”…
Looking at the week’s drumbeat, you can’t help but wonder, is this the start of something big? Warnings about valuations have been pouring forth from bears for so long that barely anyone listens anymore. With the S&P 500 up almost 50 percent in less than two years, some see the end of the blissfully easy money that equities have spewed out for 13 straight months.
“It’s the turning point of volatility,” said Jeffrey Schulze, chief investment strategist at Clearbridge Investments, which manages $137 billion. “We were all very fortunate to go through a year like 2017. But there’s a number of different dynamics this year that will make volatility more part of the equation than it has been in quite some time.”
If the stock market does crash in 2018, it will not be a surprise.
The only surprise will be that it took this long to happen.
As I have stated over and over again, stock prices would need to fall by at least 40 or 50 percent just to get valuations back to their long-term averages, and stock prices always return to their long-term averages eventually.
Hopefully our day of reckoning has not arrived and this financial bubble can continue for a little while longer.
But if financial markets do begin to crash horribly this year, nobody will be able to say that they were not warned well ahead of time.
I sold my stocks and invested in Bitcoin. It crashed so I returned to stocks and then this. Is it too late to fill the mattress? It's only money. Take the crooks out of politics and banking and we'd all be on Easy Street.
|Posted by Conspiracy Cafe on February 5, 2018 at 8:25 AM|
|Posted by Conspiracy Cafe on February 1, 2018 at 1:55 PM|
Above, an aerial view of the crash scene on Wednesday near Crozet, Virginia
A chartered Amtrak train carrying Republican lawmakers to their annual retreat crashed into a truck stopped on the tracks on Wednesday in Virginia
One of the three people inside the truck died while the other two were injured
None of the lawmakers on the train were seriously injured
But Rep. Jason Lewis suffered a concussion and was among five people taken to the hospital
The group was headed to the Greenbrier Hotel in West Virginia
President Trump is slated to speak at the event tomorrow
The president said at an afternoon meeting that House Speaker Ryan had briefed him on the situation and said the Congressmen on board were 'doing pretty good'
Organizers said the event will go on with a few changes to the schedule, including a moment of prayer
The crash caused serious damage for the forward engine of the train, pictured above in a picture posted to Twitter
A train hauling Republican lawmakers to their annual retreat in West Virginia slammed into a truck hauling garbage that had stopped on the track Wednesday - leaving one dead.
The impact crunched the front of the train's engine, smashed the truck, and left one truck passenger dead and at least five hospitalized - including Rep. Jason Lewis of Minnesota who suffered a concussion.
University of Virginia Health System tweeted just after 1pm that one of the patients was in critical condition while the others were still being evaluated.
Amtrak said three of the injured were passengers and and two were crew.
Sen. Jeff Flake (Arizona) was among the many lawmakers who sprang into action to tend to the injured after the accident, helping carry one man on a stretcher.
Flake is seen again on the far right surveying the scene after the crash on Wednesday
A lot of peaople are reading far more into this than we can see from the observable facts. If this was an orchestrated assault on the GOP stopping the train would be the first step. However, as we can see when they disembarked they would be vulnerable to assault. They weren't. So it is highly unlikely that that was the case. Yes they were going to Greenbrier, but it has been deactivated as a continuity of government site for many long years after it became public knowledge in 1992. However, many alternative media don't do the task as an affair of the heart like myself. They do it to make money. The more wild the story, the more tune in or turn on. In that regard they are no different than MSM. The GOP were on an R & R sojourn and hit a truck a guy left on the tracks. At best the driver did it on purpose. The rest is more than likely a fairy tale.
|Posted by Conspiracy Cafe on January 27, 2018 at 12:10 PM|
InTouch magazine published a cringe-worthy 2011 interview with Daniels in which she talked about a 2006 sexual encounter with the future president in a hotel room at a casino in Lake Tahoe, Nevada following a celebrity charity golf tournament
Melania Trump has been spending time away from Trump and the White House since news of his alleged tryst with porn star Stormy Daniels broke
The first lady left Washington D.C. for West Palm Beach Thursday afternoon in an unannounced trip, just as her husband was holding court with top European CEOs in Davos
Melania had been scheduled to attend the summit with her husband
'It's been upsetting and humiliating; her relationship with President Trump has become strained,' a White House source told DailyMail.com
Trump's alleged $130,000 cover up of the relationship was first reported in mid-January
But details of the alleged tryst were then published in a celebrity magazine, based on an earlier, never-before-published interview with Daniels
Melania spokesperson Stephanie Grisham tweeted: The laundry list of salacious & flat-out false reporting about Mrs. Trump...has seeped into "main stream media."'
She did not say what. if anything, specifically was false was 'false'
Grisham did not respond to several requests for comment from DailyMail.com regarding Melania's hotel stays, although given several days notice
Melania Trump has spent a number of nights at a posh D.C. hotel away fromPresident Trump following allegations of a fling with porn star Stormy Daniels, White House sources told DailyMail.com.
The first lady opted for time away from her husband since news of a possible $130,000 payoff from the President's lawyer to Daniels to cover up an alleged tryst was first reported by The Wall Street Journal.
Then, last week, to add insult to injury, a celebrity magazine published a cringe-worthy 2011 interview with Daniels in which she talked about the alleged 2006 sexual encounter with the future president in a hotel room at a casino in Lake Tahoe, Nevada following a celebrity charity golf tournament.
'It's been upsetting and humiliating; her relationship with President Trump has become strained,' a White House source told DailyMail.com.
Over two hours after DailyMail.com posted this story, Melania's spokesperson, Stephanie Grisham, tweeted: The laundry list of salacious & flat-out false reporting about Mrs. Trump by tabloid publications & TV shows has seeped into "main stream media" reporting.'
She did not say specifically what, if any, part of the DailyMail.com was 'false.'
Grisham did not respond to several requests for comment from DailyMail.com regarding Melania's hotel stays, although given several days notice prior to publication.
Before tweeting photos of the tour, the first lady hadn't been photographed in 10 days, during which time a 2011 interview with porn star Stormy Daniels was published by In Touch Weekly detailing her alleged affair with Donald Trump
Bill Clinton’s Penthouse Pet lover died in a mysterious house fire that her sister believes was started to cover up her affair with the then Arkansas governor
Billy Bob would have paid a hit man before he would have a lover. They always seem to have lots of work to do.
|Posted by Conspiracy Cafe on January 27, 2018 at 11:30 AM|
The country's showcase city, Cape Town is famously perched near two oceans
Nearly four million residents are anxious they will be left without running water
Security guards monitored how much water people queuing up were taking
By Associated Press
PUBLISHED: 04:57 EST, 26 January 2018 | UPDATED: 14:10 EST, 26 January 2018
Long lines of South Africans collect water daily from a natural spring pipeline in an upscale suburb of Cape Town, illustrating the harsh impact of a drought that authorities say could force the closure of most taps in the country's second largest city in just over two months, an occasion ominously known as 'Day Zero'.
The prospect that large sections of South Africa's showcase city, famously perched near two oceans, might go without running water has induced anxiety as well as resolve among its nearly four million residents.
It has attracted scrutiny from scientists and city managers worldwide who also face the dual challenge of ballooning populations and shrinking resources.